By using this site, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Accept
85209.com85209.com85209.com
Notification Show More
Font ResizerAa
  • Live Local
    • Eat Local
    • Local Events
    • Shop Local
  • Mesa News
  • Real Estate
  • School News
  • Podcast Episodes
  • Search Homes
  • Sell My Home
  • Cash Offer for My Home
Reading: Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash
Share
Font ResizerAa
85209.com85209.com
  • Live Local
  • Mesa News
  • Real Estate
  • School News
  • Podcast Episodes
  • Search Homes
  • Sell My Home
  • Cash Offer for My Home
Search
  • Live Local
    • Eat Local
    • Local Events
    • Shop Local
  • Mesa News
  • Real Estate
  • School News
  • Podcast Episodes
  • Search Homes
  • Sell My Home
  • Cash Offer for My Home
Have an existing account? Sign In
Follow US
85209.com > Blog > Real Estate > Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash
Real Estate

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash

Klaus Team
Last updated: February 9, 2023 11:30 am
Klaus Team Published February 9, 2023
Share
SHARE

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash Simplifying The Market

Contents
Back Then, Mortgage Standards Were Less StrictForeclosure Volume Has Declined a Lot Since the CrashThe Supply of Homes for Sale Today Is More LimitedBottom Line

67% of Americans say a housing market crash is imminent in the next three years. With all the talk in the media lately about shifts in the housing market, it makes sense why so many people feel this way. But there’s good news. Current data shows today’s market is nothing like it was before the housing crash in 2008.

Back Then, Mortgage Standards Were Less Strict

During the lead-up to the housing crisis, it was much easier to get a home loan than it is today. Banks were creating artificial demand by lowering lending standards and making it easy for just about anyone to qualify for a home loan or refinance an existing one.

As a result, lending institutions took on much greater risk in both the person and the mortgage products offered. That led to mass defaults, foreclosures, and falling prices. Today, things are different, and purchasers face much higher standards from mortgage companies.

The graph below uses data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) to help tell this story. In this index, the higher the number, the easier it is to get a mortgage. The lower the number, the harder it is.

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash | Simplifying The Market

This graph also shows just how different things are today compared to the spike in credit availability leading up to the crash. Tighter lending standards have helped prevent a situation that could lead to a wave of foreclosures like the last time.

Foreclosure Volume Has Declined a Lot Since the Crash

Another difference is the number of homeowners that were facing foreclosure when the housing bubble burst. Foreclosure activity has been lower since the crash, largely because buyers today are more qualified and less likely to default on their loans. The graph below uses data from ATTOM to show the difference between last time and now:

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash | Simplifying The Market

So even as foreclosures tick up, the total number is still very low. And on top of that, most experts don’t expect foreclosures to go up drastically like they did following the crash in 2008. Bill McBride, Founder of Calculated Risk, explains the impact a large increase in foreclosures had on home prices back then – and how that’s unlikely this time.

“The bottom line is there will be an increase in foreclosures over the next year (from record level lows), but there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales as happened following the housing bubble. The distressed sales during the housing bust led to cascading price declines, and that will not happen this time.”

The Supply of Homes for Sale Today Is More Limited

For historical context, there were too many homes for sale during the housing crisis (many of which were short sales and foreclosures), and that caused prices to fall dramatically. Supply has increased since the start of this year, but there’s still a shortage of inventory available overall, primarily due to years of underbuilding homes.

The graph below uses data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to show how the months’ supply of homes available now compares to the crash. Today, unsold inventory sits at just 2.7-months’ supply at the current sales pace, which is significantly lower than the last time. There just isn’t enough inventory on the market for home prices to come crashing down like they did last time, even though some overheated markets may experience slight declines.

Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Headed for a Crash | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

If recent headlines have you worried we’re headed for another housing crash, the data above should help ease those fears. Expert insights and the most current data clearly show that today’s market is nothing like it was last time.

You Might Also Like

Why You May Want an Energy-Efficient Home [INFOGRAPHIC]

The Rooms That Matter Most When You Sell

Owning a Home Is Still More Affordable Than Renting One

Why Today’s Foreclosure Numbers Won’t Trigger a Crash

Top Reasons Homeowners Are Selling Their Houses Right Now

Share This Article
Facebook Twitter Email Print
Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Follow US

Find US on Social Medias
Facebook Like
Twitter Follow
Youtube Subscribe
Telegram Follow
Popular News
Real Estate

What Are Your Goals in the Housing Market This Year?

Klaus Team Klaus Team January 2, 2023
Home Price Appreciation Is as Simple as Supply and Demand
Mesa City Council Approves New Drive-Thru Regulations
A Checklist for Selling Your House This Winter [INFOGRAPHIC]
Reasons Renters Buy [INFOGRAPHIC]
- Advertisement -
Ad imageAd image

About US

Your Community Connection
We provide local resources to our community to educate, support, and make our community stronger. Your Community Connection is a service of Klaus Team Real Estate Solutions with Real Broker. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Subscribe

Subscribe to our newsletter to get local news, market updates, and open houses in the community sent to your email.

 

Subscribe to Your Community Connection Newsletter

* indicates required
© Klaus Team Real Estate Solutions. All Rights Reserved.
Welcome Back!

Sign in to your account